Updated Celtics vs. Heat Series odds and NBA Championship odds after Boston win in Game 4

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Half of the 2023 NBA Finals game was set Monday night as the Denver Nuggets completed a sweep of the LA Lakers. For the first half of Tuesday’s Game 4 between the Miami Heat and Boston Celtics, it looked like Miami was going to pull off a shocking stunt of its own.

But the Celtics overcame a six-point halftime deficit to race with Game 4 (116-99) and avoid the sweep. Back at Boston 3-1, the Celtics saw their odds of winning the series go from +900 to +220.

Celtics vs Heat Eastern Conference Finals Odds

Crew Odds
Boston Celtics +220
miami heat -270

Miami was a monstrous -1200 favorite to win the best of seven series heading into Game 4. After Tuesday’s devastating setback, the Heat’s odds have faded to -270. In other words, Miami’s implied win probability went from 92.31% to 72.97%.

Boston, the No. 2 seed in the East, opened the series as a -475 strong favorite to win the Eastern Conference for the second straight season. Even after dropping Game 1 at home, they remained around -225 favorites to win the series. It wasn’t until they dropped Game 2 at home that the bettors finally moved the needle far enough to make Miami the favorite.

Now, of course, the needle goes back. And if Game 5 goes as bettors expected – Boston opened as a 7.5-point favorite and -300 on the moneyline – bettors can expect those odds to be nearly even when the series returns. in Miami for Game 6 on Saturday.

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The Boston Stars spearhead a huge second half

With the disheartening fact that no NBA team has ever overcome a 3-0 deficit looming in Game 4, many assumed the reeling Celtics – who were knocked out 128-102 in the game 3 – were dead in the water. And when they were down six at the break, presumably someone in a back room at the Kaseya Center started ripping the strip off the “Miami Heat Eastern Conference Champion” t-shirts.

But Jayson Tatum showed championship courage in the third quarter, leading his team to a 38-23 rout in those decisive 12 minutes. Boston extended its lead in the top of the fourth and the benches emptied with over a minute to play in a game long decided.

Tatum finished Game 4 with 33 points on 14-22 shooting, including 4-8 on three. He also led Boston with 11 boards and seven assists. But Boston’s win was anything but a one-man show: All five starters finished with 11 or more points and Grant Williams added 14 off the bench to cap a brilliantly balanced offensive performance from Joe Mazzulla’s team.

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2023 NBA Championship Odds Update

Crew Odds
Denver nuggets -210
miami heat +360
Boston Celtics +450

When Denver closed its series with the Lakers last night, and Miami was presumed to be its NBA Finals opponent, the Nuggets were listed as short as -285 to win their first-ever NBA championship.

However, Boston’s victory on Tuesday did more than shake Eastern Conference odds. The Nuggets’ odds of winning the title have dropped to -210. The Heat, meanwhile, saw their ratings drop from around +270 to +360.

The Celtics, on the other hand, have improved significantly, going from +1550 to +450.

Until their Game 2 loss to Miami, Boston had been NBA title favorites since the Milwaukee Bucks fell in Game 1 of their opening series with the Heat (and saw Giannis Antetokounmpo injured in the process). ).

Boston was even on the list of favorites to win the 2023 NBA title in some sportsbooks before the start of the Conference Finals.


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