The next big shoe to fall on the global bond market
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Bond yields have been below zero since the second quarter of 2019
The bond market is everywhere. The radical change of central banks (apart from the ECB) is being faced with dislocations and some nasty and angry movements.
It’s the end of the month, so you might be moving forward, but it’s hard to hear what the bond market is saying.
However, technically there is a point that could trigger waves of more dislocations. That’s the 10-year German package. Today yields were up 7 basis points and are now yielding -0.08%. That is a setback to return to positive performance. It also threatens to break the high for the year, which could trigger a cascading move.
Given the reduction in currencies and bonds, it is difficult to see how all this works out, but one would think that it leads to some inflows of euros, if only among those who have to hold bonds and could ensure a poor return.
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The next big shoe to fall on the global bond market
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