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Should the United States beat England to progress?  Here are the scenarios.

Iran’s 2-0 win over Wales on Friday lifted one team, damaged another and brought more clarity on what the United States needs to do to get out of Group B.

The United States and England meet in the final game on Friday. On Tuesday, in the final matches of the group stage, England will face Wales, while the United States will face Iran.

Only two of the four teams can advance. If the teams finish tied on points in the group standings, the first tiebreaker is the goal differential – the difference between goals scored and goals allowed in the three group games. The second tiebreaker is goals scored. It gets even more complicated afterwards.

Here’s a look at what USA need to do to qualify for the knockout stages.

The ranking would be: United States 4, England and Iran 3, Wales 1.

The Americans would advance with a win or a draw against Iran.

If the US loses to Iran, they would be out if England beat Wales. If Wales beat or draw England, the group will come down to a tiebreaker.

The ranking would be: England 4, Iran 3, USA 2, Wales 1.

The Americans would advance with a victory against Iran. They would be eliminated by a draw or loss.

The ranking would be: England 6, Iran 3, USA and Wales 1.

If the United States then beat Iran, they would advance if England beat or drew with Wales. If Wales win, the group will come down to a tiebreaker.

The Americans would be eliminated with a draw or loss to Iran.

nytimes sport

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