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Headlines via Reuters:

  • large borrowers are prepared for an increase in interest rates
  • major borrowers and lenders are resisting a potential drop in house prices
  • the household debt-to-income ratio is high, which increases sensitivity to rising interest rates
  • important that lending standards do not slip given the growing share of high DTI loans
  • some new home loans could be relatively risky, have high levels of DTI
  • household financial resilience has improved since the pandemic due to house prices, savings
  • many households have built up substantial cushions on mortgages, home equity
  • Australian banks are very well capitalized and have ample liquidity
  • non-bank loans are still low at 5% of the total, which does not pose a threat to stability
  • asset markets broadly vulnerable to larger than expected rate hikes

That last point…seems accurate. It would be great if global central banks could refine their path to reducing inflation rates with measured and well-judged rate hikes. But…history is full of asset price crashes as interest rates rise too far too fast.

Full text from here: Financial Stability Review

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The Euro (EUR) is the official currency of the European Union (EU) and 19 of the 27 member states at the time of writing. It is the second most traded currency in the world on the foreign exchange markets after the US dollar. The euro was initially introduced on January 1, 1999, after replacing the European currency unit. Euro banknotes and physical coins only entered circulation in 2002. Upon adoption, the euro replaced national currencies in participating EU member states. Its rise in value since then and its prominence in the global market have helped cement its status as one of the most important currencies in the forex market today. Along with the USD, the currency pair is easily among the most important for forex, given its exposure to the two major economic blocs. What factors affect the euro? Several factors affect the euro. Like most currencies, monetary policy is the most influential, which in this case refers to the European Central Bank (ECB). The ECB is responsible for regulating monetary policy, the money supply, interest rates and the relative strength of the euro. Euro traders are regularly on the lookout for any ECB decision or announcement for this reason. With 19 sovereign member states, the euro is particularly vulnerable to political developments. Recent examples include the Greek debt crisis and Brexit, among others, which can have a serious impact on the Euro. Finally, economic data from the bloc or from key member states such as Germany, France, Spain and others are also closely watched. This includes retail sales, unemployment claims, gross domestic product (GDP) and others.

The Euro (EUR) is the official currency of the European Union (EU) and 19 of the 27 member states at the time of writing. It is the second most traded currency in the world on the foreign exchange markets after the US dollar. The euro was initially introduced on January 1, 1999, after replacing the European currency unit. Euro banknotes and physical coins only entered circulation in 2002. Upon adoption, the euro replaced national currencies in participating EU member states. Its rise in value since then and its prominence in the global market have helped cement its status as one of the most important currencies in the forex market today. Along with the USD, the currency pair is easily among the most important for forex, given its exposure to the two major economic blocs. What factors affect the euro? Several factors affect the euro. Like most currencies, monetary policy is the most influential, which in this case refers to the European Central Bank (ECB). The ECB is responsible for regulating monetary policy, the money supply, interest rates and the relative strength of the euro. Euro traders are regularly on the lookout for any ECB decision or announcement for this reason. With 19 sovereign member states, the euro is particularly vulnerable to political developments. Recent examples include the Greek debt crisis and Brexit, among others, which can have a serious impact on the Euro. Finally, economic data from the bloc or from key member states such as Germany, France, Spain and others are also closely watched. This includes retail sales, unemployment claims, gross domestic product (GDP) and others.
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