Putin faces ‘rightful humiliation’ after misjudging West’s willingness to get involved in war in Ukraine, Russian expert says

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Russian President Vladimir Putin.Getty Images

  • Putin is likely humiliated as Russian military casualties mount in Ukraine, a Russian expert tells Insider.

  • Such defeats are compounded by the fact that the US, UK and other NATO allies are helping Ukraine’s cause.

  • “He misjudged the resilience of the West,” Simon Miles, a Duke professor, said of Putin.

When Russian President Vladimir Putin launched an unprovoked war on Ukraine nearly seven months ago, he dramatically underestimated the willingness of Western governments to get involved in the conflict between two Soviet neighbors, an official has said. Russia expert at Insider.

This miscalculation was on full display earlier this month as Ukraine scored one of its biggest victories to date after launching two major offensives in the northeast and south in an effort effective in reclaiming the occupied territory that drove Russian troops out – an assault that, while exclusively executed by Ukrainian forces, would have been made possible by intelligence, strategy and weapons from the United States and the United Kingdom. United.

“The last thing I want to do is take away from the pretty extraordinary heroism of the Ukrainians on the ground using these tools,” said Simon Miles, assistant professor at the Sanford School of Public Policy at the University. ‘Duke University and historian of the USSR. Union and American-Soviet Relations. “But preparing this battlespace and not leveling the playing field in favor of the Ukrainians is largely a story of the weapons they got from the United States and other NATO allies, and then used to extraordinary effect.”

The runaway success of the Ukrainians, coupled with the presence of Putin’s geopolitical opponents in recent victories, almost certainly left the Russian president furious, Miles said.

“Absolutely Putin is aware of that,” the professor told Insider. “It’s, I’m sure, frustrating and humiliating for him because I think he really didn’t believe this was going to happen.”

Putin’s personal vendetta against Ukraine and his misplaced faith in Russia’s military supremacy likely blinded him to the Western world’s willingness to come to Ukraine’s aid.

“He misjudged the resilience of the West,” Miles said. “He misjudged the willingness of Western governments and companies to take a hit to punish Russia, and certainly the willingness of Europe to jeopardize their gas supplies.”

Russia has targeted natural gas supplies to the continent, shutting down the Nord Stream 1 gas pipeline and leaving just one major pipeline delivering gas to all of Europe in retaliation for European sanctions against Russia. The energy outlook across Europe remains somewhat bleak and Miles predicted that Putin will try to push Europe to its limits as winter hits the continent in a few months. But recent inventory data suggests the European Union is actually on track to meet its winter natural gas storage targets two months early, despite the Russian chokehold.

The United States also had to make sacrifices as a result of Russia’s war in Ukraine. Gas prices soared at the start of the summer and remain high in many places, while rising shipping prices have also impacted the country.

Putin’s war also had massive implications for world politics. Finland and Sweden, notoriously neutral, moved quickly to join NATO after Russia’s incursion – an ironic consequence of the war, given Putin’s aim to stymie NATO’s power. military alliance.

Russia’s mounting military losses in conjunction with the Western world rallying behind Ukraine is Putin’s worst-case scenario.

“I think it’s driving him crazy. I think he’s totally miserable right now,” Miles said.

Experts told Insider’s John Haltiwanger that Russia’s strategic defeat throughout the war so far has “significantly” altered perceptions of Russia’s military strength and could ultimately put Putin’s regime in jeopardy. danger.

“All of this is quite humiliating for Putin, as it should be,” Miles said. “It’s a legitimate humiliation on the world stage.”

Read the original article on Business Insider

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