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Ought to we count on an outbreak of circumstances with the beginning of the college yr?

Whereas 12 million French youngsters return to highschool on Thursday, the state of affairs of an epidemic restoration is taking form. This worry is all of the extra justified as in nations the place the re-entry passed off a couple of weeks earlier than, the variety of circumstances of Covid-19 is exploding.

It’s a new college yr that the federal government needs as “regular” as potential. After two months of trip, 12 million college students in metropolitan France are again on Thursday, September 2, on the college benches. Nonetheless, with youngsters underneath 12 unvaccinated and a well being protocol deemed inadequate in colleges, many scientists are fearful a couple of robust comeback of Covid-19 within the fall.

Authorities spokesman Gabriel Attal himself warned on Wednesday in opposition to an epidemic “resumption” that might trigger “the beginning of the college yr, with the return of many actions”, in addition to the “fall cooling”.

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“On this unvaccinated inhabitants, the danger of intense circulation of the virus at the beginning of the college yr may be very excessive”, had already alerted the scientific council in a observe given to the federal government on August 20.

“Probably the most possible state of affairs is certainly that of an elevated circulation of the virus, particularly as a result of the Delta variant spreads extra simply amongst younger individuals”, warns the physician Jérôme Marty, president of the union the French Union for a free medication, joint by France 24.

In keeping with a mannequin from the Institut Pasteur, youngsters might symbolize half of the brand new contaminations in mid-September.

“Extraordinarily worrying” enhance

This worry is all of the extra justified as within the nations the place the re-entry passed off a couple of weeks earlier than France, the variety of circumstances of Covid-19 is exploding.

That is the case in Scotland, the place the variety of Covid-19 sufferers has elevated fivefold in 4 weeks and the place the positivity price has risen from 5% to 11.5%, an exponential enhance attributed to the resumption of faculty actions in August.

“Even when we anticipated to see a rise within the variety of circumstances, the size of this enhance in latest weeks is extraordinarily worrying,” Prime Minister Nicola Sturgeon expressed concern on Wednesday in entrance of Parliament.

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Identical pattern in Germany the place the variety of contaminations has soared for the reason that return of schoolchildren to class in a number of Länder, with 9,162 contaminations recorded on common every day. And this regardless of a very strict well being protocol with obligatory sporting of a masks at college and self-tests carried out 3 times per week from the age of six.

Lastly, the instance of america, the place colleges in some states have reopened, additionally reveals a resurgence of the epidemic among the many youngest.

In keeping with the American Academy of Pediatrics, the variety of contaminated youngsters quadrupled between late July and late August, from 38,000 to 180,000 circumstances. Kids now symbolize 22% of Covid-19 circumstances recognized every week and three.6% of hospitalizations.

Shield youngsters underneath 12

If hospitalizations are uncommon in youngsters affected by the virus, they’re rising quickly all around the world, remind epidemiologists and well being professionals in a column revealed by the newspaper Le Monde. “In France, through the previous yr, 1.2% of 0-9 yr olds who examined constructive have been hospitalized and the variety of hospitalizations is now double that of final yr on the similar date, and the quadruple for the 10-19 age group “, clarify the signatories.

“Only a few youngsters develop severe varieties but when the variety of contaminations explodes, the variety of younger individuals hospitalized can be much less and fewer trivial, specifies Jérôme Marty. The opposite danger is to see lengthy Covid growing in youngsters. “

In keeping with a latest British research, one in seven adolescents is prone to endure from signs linked to a protracted Covid reminiscent of continual fatigue or muscle ache after being contaminated with the virus.

In France, scientists and fogeys of scholars are calling on the federal government to overview its copy to raised shield unvaccinated youngsters underneath 12. A number of avenues have been mentioned in latest weeks, reminiscent of the acquisition of air purifiers, the generalization of CO2 sensors which make it potential to evaluate the necessity for sophistication air flow and even the implementation of an actual screening technique in colleges. academic establishments.

For his half, Jean-Michel Blanquer needs to be reassuring regardless of the considerations surrounding this comeback. “It isn’t a selected place of contamination” hammered, Wednesday, the Minister of Nationwide Schooling on France Inter. “A baby can infect himself extra in actions apart from college.” The minister sees as proof the case of Reunion Island the place lower than 0.2% of courses have been closed 15 days after the return of the scholars.

For this new college yr, the extent 2 well being protocol, on a scale of 4, will apply in colleges. Particularly, it gives for the sporting of a masks contained in the CP within the Terminale, the common air flow of the premises or the isolation for 7 days of unvaccinated highschool college students within the occasion of contamination in a classroom.

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