Non-farm payrolls in the United States in July + 528,000 against + 250,000 expected


  • Before was +390K (revised to +384K)
  • Estimates ranged from +75,000 to +325,000
  • Unemployment rate 3.5% against 3.6% expected
  • Previous unemployment rate 3.6%
  • Participation rate 62.1% compared to 62.2% before (was 63.4% before the pandemic)
  • U6 underemployment rate 6.7% vs 6.7% before
  • Average hourly earnings +0.5% m/m vs +0.3% expected
  • Average hourly earnings +5.2% y/y vs +4.9% expected (before 5.1%)
  • Average weekly hours 34.6 vs. 34.5 expected
  • Evolution of private payroll +471K vs +230K expected
  • Evolution of the manufacturing payroll +30K vs +17K expected

Chance of a 75 bps bike increased from 40% to 61% on exit.

Good news is definitely bad news here and bonds fell along with stocks futures contracts

Futures contracts

A futures or futures contract represents a legal agreement to buy or sell a security or asset at a predetermined price at a specific time in the future. It should be noted that the parties do not know each other. These transactions generally involve commodities or other securities involving the buying and selling at a forward or predetermined price. Futures contracts also adhere to a delivery date, which specifies the date of delivery and payment. Compared to other forms of investing, futures contracts are much more complex, as they involve specified and non-flexible parameters. Futures contracts are traded on exchanges which act as a unified market for buyers and sellers. The buyers of contracts represent the holders of long positions, while the sellers represent the holders of short positions. Both parties risk their counterparty walking away if the price goes against them. As such, the contract may involve both parties incurring a margin of the value of the contract with a mutually trusted third party. This margin can vary significantly, depending on the current market volatility of the security being traded. Futures contracts can be incredibly risky. and are the classic definition of stock market speculation. A trader who predicts that the price of an asset will move in a certain direction can contract to buy or sell it in the future at a price. If this prediction is correct, the trader will profit from it. If the prediction is incorrect, there will be losses. Futures trading is considered an advanced type of trading that requires prior knowledge and understanding. For this reason, retail traders will rarely have access to futures trading through brokers without first going through specific questions or account requirements.

A futures or futures contract represents a legal agreement to buy or sell a security or asset at a predetermined price at a specific time in the future. It should be noted that the parties do not know each other. These transactions generally involve commodities or other securities involving the buying and selling at a forward or predetermined price. Futures contracts also adhere to a delivery date, which specifies the date of delivery and payment. Compared to other forms of investing, futures contracts are much more complex, as they involve specified and non-flexible parameters. Futures contracts are traded on exchanges which act as a unified market for buyers and sellers. The buyers of contracts represent the holders of long positions, while the sellers represent the holders of short positions. Both parties risk their counterparty walking away if the price goes against them. As such, the contract may involve both parties incurring a margin of the value of the contract with a mutually trusted third party. This margin can vary significantly, depending on the current market volatility of the security being traded. Futures contracts can be incredibly risky. and are the classic definition of stock market speculation. A trader who predicts that the price of an asset will move in a certain direction can contract to buy or sell it in the future at a price. If this prediction is correct, the trader will profit from it. If the prediction is incorrect, there will be losses. Futures trading is considered an advanced type of trading that requires prior knowledge and understanding. For this reason, retail traders will rarely have access to futures trading through brokers without first going through specific questions or account requirements.
Read this term. However for the American dollars

American dollars

The US dollar (symbol $, code USD) is the fiat currency of the United States of America (USD) and the most traded currency in the world. It was introduced to the United States in the late 18th century, with paper notes not being distributed until the following century. The US dollar, also known informally as the greenback, is the world’s primary reserve currency, largely due to the importance of the US economy on the world stage. Once backed by gold (in the 1900s), the USD is now a purely fiat currency, that is, not backed by a physical commodity. The old gold standard aligned with the US dollar made gold and silver legal tender in the United States, with the guarantee that 1 USD could be converted into one and a half grams of pure gold 24 carats. However, the link to gold was eventually abolished by President Richard Nixon in 1971. Since the removal of the gold standard, the US dollar has become the world’s premier reserve currency. This means that foreign nations hold large amounts of their cash reserves in USD, which accounts for approximately 65% ​​of global foreign exchange reserves. How to trade the US dollar? traded in pairs. Any retail broker offers exposure to USD in many trading pairs, given its popularity and liquidity. The USD is involved in the majority of the most traded currency pairs, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD and USD/CHF, known as the “four majors” , and “commodity pairs”. , i.e. AUD/USD, USD/CAD and NZD/USD.

The US dollar (symbol $, code USD) is the fiat currency of the United States of America (USD) and the most traded currency in the world. It was introduced to the United States in the late 18th century, with paper notes not being distributed until the following century. The US dollar, also known informally as the greenback, is the world’s primary reserve currency, largely due to the importance of the US economy on the world stage. Once backed by gold (in the 1900s), the USD is now a purely fiat currency, that is, not backed by a physical commodity. The old gold standard aligned with the US dollar made gold and silver legal tender in the United States, with the guarantee that 1 USD could be converted into one and a half grams of pure gold 24 carats. However, the link to gold was eventually abolished by President Richard Nixon in 1971. Since the removal of the gold standard, the US dollar has become the world’s premier reserve currency. This means that foreign nations hold large amounts of their cash reserves in USD, which accounts for approximately 65% ​​of global foreign exchange reserves. How to trade the US dollar? traded in pairs. Any retail broker offers exposure to USD in many trading pairs, given its popularity and liquidity. The USD is involved in the majority of the most traded currency pairs, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD and USD/CHF, known as the “four majors” , and “commodity pairs”. , i.e. AUD/USD, USD/CAD and NZD/USD.
Read this termgood news is good news and USD/JPY climbed to 134.31 from 133.22.

This will be a huge challenge for the recent rebound in risk trading.

A caveat in all of this is the household survey, which showed only 179,000 jobs and 239,000 people leaving the labor force. It has been much weaker than the establishment survey lately. Over the past four months, the establishment survey has revealed 1.8 million more jobs than the household survey.


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