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Le Pen up sharply, Macron subsides according to a poll


Marine Le Pen confirms its strong growth for a month and reaches 21.5%, still a good distance away from Emmanuel Macron (26.5%), but far ahead of Jean-Luc Mélenchon, also on the rise (16%), according to a poll for the presidential election published on Wednesday. In this Ipsos / Sopra Steria survey for Le Monde, the Jean-Jaurès foundation and the Sciences Po Political Research Center (Cevipof), carried out from April 2 to 4 among 12,600 people, the candidate for the National Rally still progresses by four points. in two weeks.

Mélenchon continues to progress, Zemmour picks up

The outgoing president remains in the lead (26.5%) but continues to decline (-1.5 points), also observed in other surveys. Jean-Luc Mélenchon (La France insoumise) also continues to progress (+ 2 points) and widens the gap with the candidate Éric Zemmour (Reconquête!) which is still eroding (10%, -1.5), just like the LR candidate Valérie Pécresse (8.5%, -1.5 points).

On the left, the ecologist Yannick Jadot is down (6%, -1 pt), ahead of the communist Fabien Roussel and the socialist Anne Hidalgo, stable at 3.5% and 2% of voting intentions respectively. Jean Lassalle (Résistons) is still at 2.5% and Nicolas Dupont-Aignan (Debout la France) at 2%. Philippe Poutou (NPA) recorded 1% of voting intentions and Nathalie Arthaud (Lutte Ouvrière) 0.5%. 69% of respondents say they are certain to vote, against 67% two weeks ago, and 73% on April 16-17, 2017, a few days before the first round.

Voting intentions do not constitute a forecast of the outcome of the vote. They give an indication of the balance of power and dynamics on the day of the survey. The survey was conducted online from April 2 to 4, among 12,600 people registered on the electoral lists from a representative sample of the French population aged 18 and over, according to the quota method.


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