Credited with 28% of voting intentions according to a survey made public this Tuesday, the National Rally (RN) list would emerge as the big winner in the European elections, nine points ahead of that of the presidential majority, if the vote were held this Sunday.
The gap is widening. A little over six months before the European elections, the National Rally list, led by Jordan Bardella, already seems to be taking off.
While the 2019 battle ended in a fierce duel between the oppositions, this next major event looks quite different, according to initial estimates.
According to a EuroTrack poll carried out by OpinionWay for “Les Echos”, the RN would obtain 28% of the votes if the vote took place this Sunday, thus distancing the ranks of the majority (19%) by 9 points.
In particular: a camp stuck in a climate of crisis, and the designation of a head of the list which is slow to be made.
Another notable element of this new investigation, the rise in power of Reconquête. Credited at 6% in a previous survey, the list led by Marion Maréchal is attractive, and grabs one more point with the stated desire to make immigration a “European priority”.
Still on the right, the Republicans are no longer moving forward. If their expected score here (8%) is ahead of that of Valérie Pécresse during the last presidential election, it nonetheless remains slightly below that obtained in 2019 in the European elections by François-Xavier Bellamy (8.5%).
the left, more divided than ever, is slipping
Weakened by the end of a common list, the left, for its part, is struggling to make itself heard.
Coming in third position during the last presidential election, La France insoumise only received 7% of the votes here, while the Socialist Party was timidly approaching the ten mark (9%).
The Ecologists, for their part, show a stable score (8%), like the Lutte Ouvrière (2%), or the animalist party (1%).
Note that 22% of those questioned do not express any intention to vote.
Gn Fr France