2021: the year Biden’s approval ratings slowly sank
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President Biden joked earlier this month that he was “no longer” tracking his poll numbers.
During an appearance on late-night talk shows, Biden joked to “Tonight Show” host Jimmy Fallon that he had kept an eye on his approval ratings earlier in his presidency, “but now that they’re in their 40’s, I don’t mind. “
All kidding aside, it would be understandable for the president to avoid keeping a close watch on his polls, as his once-strong numbers have fallen for five consecutive months.
NO SLOWING DOWN IN THE FAILURE OF THE BIDEN SURVEYS
Biden’s approval rating hovered between the low to mid-1950s during his first six months in the White House. But the president’s numbers began to sag in August following Biden’s much-criticized handling of the United States’ turbulent exit from Afghanistan and following an increase in COVID-19 cases this summer. among predominantly unvaccinated people.
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The drop in Presidential approval has also been fueled by the surge since the summer in consumer prices and, to a lesser extent, by the sharp increase this year in migrants attempting to enter the United States along the southern border with Mexico.
By mid-November, Biden’s approval had fallen below 40% in two well-known national polls from ABC News / Washington Post and Quinnipiac University.
There is a slight increase in some of the more recent surveys. Biden was at 47% approval and 51% disapproval in the latest FOX Business poll, 48% to 52% in the latest CNN poll and slightly above the water at 48% to 46% in a Reuters poll / Ipsos. But his average as he nears the end of his freshman year in the White House is by no means exceptional.
O EN BIDEN IN THE LATEST FOX NEWS SURVEY
Just before the Christmas and New Years holidays, Biden was 44% -53% in an average of the latest polls compiled by Real Clear Politics and 43% -51% on average by FiveThirtyEight.
There is always cause for concern once you’ve gotten past the front lines of recent polls. Biden’s endorsement on most major issues is also underwater, and he has seen deterioration with the major voting blocs.
Tony Fabrizio, the longtime Republican pollster who conducted polls for Trump’s campaigns in 2016 and 2020, pointed to “the absolute collapse of support among independents, which was the backbone of his victory in 20” , as well as “the collapse of the Hispanic voters”. “
Approval rating is a key indicator of a president’s national political strength and influence in getting things done in Washington. And Biden’s lower numbers are no ally of the president as he continues to struggle to push through key elements of his platform, such as his party’s vast human infrastructure and the climate change spending program. and the comprehensive Democrat Election and Campaign Financing Reform Bill.
The presidential approval rating has also long been a closely watched indicator ahead of the midterm elections, and Biden’s falling numbers could cause major problems for Democrats as they try to keep their very slim majorities in the House. and in the Senate in 2022. elections.
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Highlighting the president’s stance with independents and Hispanic voters, Fabrizio said, “From a constituency perspective, these are two important changes that make the difference between Democrats losing a handful of seats in the House or a wave that brings them out of 40 seats. or more.”
Biden’s numbers are lagging behind recent predecessors at this point in their presidency. Former President George W. Bush was 84% to 12% at the end of December 2001, his numbers skyrocketing as the country rallied to government in the wake of the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks. Barack Obama and Bill Clinton were 50-45% and 54-40% respectively at the end of their first years in office.
The only recent president whose poll count was worse than Biden’s at this point during a White House term was Donald Trump, who stood at 39% -56% as 2017 drew to a close.
Democrats suffered disastrous midterm elections in 1994 under Clinton and 2010 under Obama, but the two Democratic presidents bounced back and were re-elected two years later. House Republicans were bombed mid-term in 2018 during Trump’s presidency, losing their eight-year majority in the House. Trump failed to bounce back and lost re-election to Biden two years later
John Anzalone, the veteran Democratic pollster who conducted polls for Biden in the 2020 campaign, told Fox News that “we all know voters are in a bad mood.”
But Anzalone, who along with Fabrizio leads polls for the Wall Street Journal, noted that “it’s December 2021, and you’re fast moving 10 months ahead, and it could be a lot different.”
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“The reality is that there is no modern president who has faced challenges like Joe Biden,” Anzalone said. “People tend to reward leaders who took on challenges and handled them well and got away with it.”
While acknowledging that this is “not a fun time at the moment,” he stressed that “Joe Biden is just not giving up. He is going to keep pushing forward and getting things done. He is the eternal optimist. “
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